Churchville leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 89% of adults in Churchville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Churchville, ~35% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Churchville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Churchville leans more Republican than 54 of 120 neighbors.
Churchville runs about 50 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Churchville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Churchville. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+33) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+15), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Churchville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Churchville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Churchville votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Churchville runs about 50 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Churchville are family households, above 83% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Churchville, MD sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Churchville looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Churchville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Churchville have completed high school, above 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Glenville, MD R+36
- Bel Air, MD R+8
- Aberdeen, MD D+12
- Stafford, MD R+39
- Riverside, MD D+30
- Bel Air South, MD Even
- Darlington, MD R+47
- Bel Air North, MD R+13
- Belcamp, MD D+21
- Havre de Grace, MD D+5
Cities with Similar Populations
- Burney, CA R+41
- Telluride, CO D+51
- Richwood, OH R+55
- Ray, MI R+50
- West Friendship, MD D+18
- Willard, UT R+63
- White Sulphur Springs, WV R+40
- Wellston, OK R+64
- San Saba, TX R+63
- Colden, NY R+15
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.