Stage Junction leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Stage Junction typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Stage Junction, ~37% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Stage Junction compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Stage Junction leans more Republican than 11 of 81 neighbors.
Stage Junction runs about 14 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Stage Junction is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Stage Junction leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Stage Junction, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Stage Junction votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Stage Junction runs about 14 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Stage Junction, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Stage Junction looks the way it does
Turnout in Stage Junction sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Columbia, VA R+33
- Dixie, VA R+7
- Wilmington, VA R+12
- Fork Union, VA R+12
- Tabscott, VA R+17
- Georges Tavern, VA R+34
- Kents Store, VA R+18
- Wildwood, VA R+16
- Bremo Bluff, VA R+15
- West Bottom, VA Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hermitage Springs, TN R+75
- Rixford, PA R+59
- Pancoastburg, OH R+66
- Isom, TN R+69
- Split Rock, WI R+52
- Pemberton, OH R+72
- Thurman, IA R+49
- Mineola, AL R+76
- Herald, VA R+68
- Phillipsville, CA D+19
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.