State Fair-Nolan is a Democratic stronghold. About 83% of voters here vote Democratic and 17% Republican.
About 58% of adults in State Fair-Nolan typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in State Fair-Nolan, ~48% vote Democratic, ~10% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How State Fair-Nolan compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, State Fair-Nolan leans more Democratic than 5 of 24 neighbors.
State Fair-Nolan runs about 67 points more Democratic than Michigan as a whole. Michigan is roughly evenly split, and State Fair-Nolan sits clearly on the Democratic side.
Politics vary noticeably by block within State Fair-Nolan. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+88) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+28), a spread of about 60 points.
Why State Fair-Nolan leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for State Fair-Nolan, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in State Fair-Nolan live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 49% of adults in State Fair-Nolan have never been married, above 80% of neighborhoods. State Fair-Nolan runs against the grain of Michigan, a Democratic-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; State Fair-Nolan, Highland Park, MI sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in State Fair-Nolan looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 46% of adults in State Fair-Nolan report food insecurity, about 30 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 75% of adults in State Fair-Nolan have completed high school, below 90% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and State Fair-Nolan sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Iron Triangle, Richmond, CA D+54
- Bowmanville, Chicago, IL D+64
- Orchards Area, Orchards, WA Even
- Spectrum, Irvine, CA D+14
- Downtown Fullerton, Fullerton, CA D+23
- Firestone Park, Akron, OH D+24
- Martin Luther, Chicago, IL D+26
- Neighbors Southwest, Beaverton, OR D+42
- Eastwood, Syracuse, NY D+37
- Washington Square, Syracuse, NY D+32
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.