Stateline is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Stateline typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Stateline, ~41% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Stateline compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Stateline leans more Democratic than 21 of 33 neighbors.
Stateline runs about 8 points more Democratic than Nevada as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Stateline. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+4), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Stateline leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Stateline. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Stateline, NV sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Stateline looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Stateline is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Stateline have completed high school, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Zephyr Cove, NV R+5
- South Lake Tahoe, CA D+18
- Genoa, NV R+31
- Glenbrook, NV R+21
- Minden, NV R+26
- Echo Lake, CA D+7
- Johnson Lane, NV R+43
- Gardnerville Ranchos, NV R+36
- Indian Hills, NV R+32
- Gardnerville, NV R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Middle Grove, NY R+16
- Fisher, IL R+47
- Dubach, LA R+54
- Shafer, MN R+36
- Plantersville, MS R+41
- Otis, OR Even
- Walpole, NH R+12
- Seaside Heights, NJ R+8
- Piermont, NY D+31
- Herald, CA R+36
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nevada Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.