Stockdale leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 89% of adults in Stockdale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Stockdale, ~30% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Stockdale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Stockdale leans more Republican than 104 of 254 neighbors.
Stockdale runs about 30 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Stockdale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Stockdale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Stockdale votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 58%, well above the Pennsylvania average of 33%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Stockdale, PA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Stockdale looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Stockdale is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Stockdale have completed high school, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Allenport, PA R+32
- Roscoe, PA R+25
- Fayette City, PA R+41
- Elco, PA R+38
- Newell, PA R+40
- Long Branch, PA R+38
- Dunlevy, PA R+36
- California, PA R+3
- Arnold City, PA R+25
Cities with Similar Populations
- Manor, GA R+84
- Kinta, OK R+71
- Cooksville, GA R+75
- Negangards Corner, IN R+59
- Steele, KY R+71
- Heber, AZ R+51
- Richwood, GA R+9
- Union Point, OR R+47
- Ages-Brookside, KY R+80
- Manderson, WY R+78
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.