Stockton is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 43% of adults in Stockton typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Stockton, ~7% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Stockton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Stockton leans more Republican than 20 of 23 neighbors.
Stockton runs about 48 points more Republican than Utah as a whole.
Why Stockton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Stockton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 88% of households in Stockton are family households, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Stockton sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 91% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Stockton, UT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Stockton looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 5% of homes in Stockton have more than one occupant per room, above 87% of cities. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and Stockton sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rush Valley, UT R+76
- Ophir, UT R+72
- Tooele, UT R+40
- Grantsville, UT R+58
- Lincoln, UT R+53
- Terra, UT R+63
- Copperton, UT R+33
- Stansbury Park, UT R+55
- Cedar Fort, UT R+69
Cities with Similar Populations
- Harrisville, WV R+65
- Southmont, PA R+13
- Chualar, CA Even
- Mona, UT R+76
- Black Eagle, MT R+35
- Osburn, ID R+40
- Berryton, KS R+31
- Milford, VA R+21
- Sandy Lake, PA R+51
- Huntington, MA R+13
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Utah Lieutenant Governor's Office, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.