Stonegate leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Stonegate typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Stonegate, ~25% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Stonegate compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Stonegate leans more Republican than 10 of 16 neighbors.
Stonegate runs about 28 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Stonegate is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Stonegate leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Stonegate, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 84% of residents in Stonegate drive to work alone, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 92% of households in Stonegate are family households, above 98% of neighborhoods. Stonegate runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Stonegate, Bakersfield, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Stonegate looks the way it does
Turnout in Stonegate sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Stone Meadows, Bakersfield, CA R+4
- Ridgeview Estates, Bakersfield, CA R+12
- Castle Ranch, Bakersfield, CA R+7
- The Seasons, Bakersfield, CA R+9
- Greenfield, Bakersfield, CA D+2
- Silver Creek, Bakersfield, CA R+5
- Rexland Acres, Bakersfield, CA D+8
- Spice Tract, Bakersfield, CA Even
- Sagepointe, Bakersfield, CA D+8
- Laurelglen, Bakersfield, CA R+15
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Salisbury Street, Worcester, MA D+35
- Estrella-Goodyear, Goodyear, AZ R+27
- La Jolla Village, La Jolla, CA D+45
- Wellington, Manchester, NH D+21
- Los Jardines, San Antonio, TX D+32
- Downtown, Scranton, PA D+28
- Hillandale, Silver Spring, MD D+53
- Academy Acres North, Albuquerque, NM D+16
- Fillmore, New Orleans, LA D+59
- Wooten, Austin, TX D+53
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.