Castle Ranch leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 38% of adults in Castle Ranch typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Castle Ranch, ~17% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~62% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Castle Ranch compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Castle Ranch leans more Republican than 7 of 10 neighbors.
Castle Ranch runs about 27 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Castle Ranch is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Castle Ranch. The north side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+22), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Castle Ranch leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Castle Ranch, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 84% of households in Castle Ranch are family households, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Castle Ranch sits in the bottom quarter (about 18%, below 80% of neighborhoods). Castle Ranch runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Castle Ranch, Bakersfield, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Castle Ranch looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 21% of homes in Castle Ranch have more than one occupant per room, above 98% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Stone Meadows, Bakersfield, CA R+4
- Greenfield, Bakersfield, CA D+2
- Stonegate, Bakersfield, CA R+8
- Ridgeview Estates, Bakersfield, CA R+12
- Rexland Acres, Bakersfield, CA D+8
- The Seasons, Bakersfield, CA R+9
- Silver Creek, Bakersfield, CA R+5
- Spice Tract, Bakersfield, CA Even
- Sagepointe, Bakersfield, CA D+8
- Benton Park, Bakersfield, CA D+6
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Kirtland Community, Albuquerque, NM D+35
- Lincoln Place, Pittsburgh, PA R+5
- Imperial Lakes, Fuller Heights, FL R+37
- Tempe Royal Estates, Tempe, AZ D+22
- Bernice, Lansing, IL D+52
- Volker, Kansas City, MO D+66
- Cramer Hill, Camden, NJ D+51
- Golden Triangle, Denver, CO D+60
- Castle Rouge, Detroit, MI D+82
- Weems, Manassas, VA D+11
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.