Silver Creek, Bakersfield, CA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Silver Creek

Silver Creek is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.

 
Silver Creek, Bakersfield, CA block-group political-lean map
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About 50% of adults in Silver Creek typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Silver Creek, ~24% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

Silver Creek, Bakersfield, CA block-group voter-turnout map
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How Silver Creek compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Silver Creek leans more Republican than 7 of 20 neighbors.

Silver Creek runs about 25 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Silver Creek is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why Silver Creek leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Silver Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Silver Creek votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Silver Creek runs about 25 points more Republican.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Silver Creek, Bakersfield, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Silver Creek looks the way it does

Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 86% of adults in Silver Creek have completed high school, below 75% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.