Strafford leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 78% of adults in Strafford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Strafford, ~47% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Strafford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Strafford leans more Democratic than 65 of 89 neighbors.
Strafford runs about 13 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole.
Why Strafford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Strafford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 53% of adults in Strafford hold a bachelor's degree, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Strafford, VT sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Strafford looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Strafford is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Strafford have completed high school, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- South Strafford, VT D+19
- Post Mills, VT D+36
- Vershire, VT Even
- West Fairlee, VT D+16
- Tunbridge, VT D+12
- Thetford Center, VT D+41
- Sharon, VT D+15
- North Thetford, VT D+3
- West Norwich, VT D+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- Soapstone, VA R+44
- Dunmore, WV R+58
- Wheaton, KS R+58
- Pine Crest, MO R+71
- Stormville, PA R+16
- Kanawha, WV R+61
- Fruitland, TX R+75
- Little York, IN R+61
- Indian Mills, WV R+66
- Hogue, KY R+66
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.