Stump Creek is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Stump Creek typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Stump Creek, ~9% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Stump Creek compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Stump Creek leans more Republican than 101 of 136 neighbors.
Stump Creek runs about 67 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Stump Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Stump Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 8% of adults in Stump Creek hold a bachelor's degree, about 18 points below the Pennsylvania average of 26%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Stump Creek are family households, above 79% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Stump Creek, PA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Stump Creek looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Stump Creek is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 73% of adults in Stump Creek have completed high school, below 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Desire, PA R+69
- Troutville, PA R+64
- Sykesville, PA R+53
- Stanley, PA R+63
- Wishaw, PA R+62
- Clover Run, PA R+71
- Big Run, PA R+58
- Luthersburg, PA R+63
- Reynoldsville, PA R+54
- Panic, PA R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Thrasher, MS R+80
- Zion, MS R+69
- Goldsmith, TX R+58
- Mechanicsville, PA R+34
- Dorrance, PA R+40
- Layland, OH R+68
- Swift, TN R+78
- Mills, PA R+68
- Dunn, LA R+63
- Hallie, KY R+67
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.