Sunrise leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Sunrise typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Sunrise, ~36% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Sunrise compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Sunrise leans more Democratic than 2 of 6 neighbors.
Sunrise runs about 29 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Sunrise is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Sunrise. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+56) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+35), a spread of about 90 points.
Why Sunrise leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Sunrise, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 41% of adults in Sunrise have never been married, well above similar-sized cities (around 25%). Sunrise runs against the grain of Arizona, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Sunrise, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Sunrise looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Sunrise is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 12 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 37% of adults in Sunrise report food insecurity, above 98% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 83% of adults in Sunrise have completed high school, below 86% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Leupp Corner, AZ R+9
- Winslow, AZ R+14
- Tolani Lake, AZ D+59
- Leupp, AZ D+58
- Rimmy Jims, AZ D+40
- Dilkon, AZ D+51
- Tees Toh, AZ D+52
- Joseph City, AZ R+65
- Holbrook, AZ R+17
- Indian Wells, AZ D+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- Minetto, NY Even
- Flynn, TX R+74
- Walnut, KS R+63
- Burbank, SD R+38
- Shiloh, TX R+56
- Grissom Arb, IN R+55
- Cochiti Pueblo, NM D+38
- Ames, NE R+50
- Lodiburg, KY R+65
- Schell City, MO R+73
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.