Talbot County is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Talbot County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Talbot County, ~41% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Talbot County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Talbot County sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 8 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 6 leaning the other way.
Talbot County runs about 30 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Talbot County sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Talbot County. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+30), a spread of about 39 points.
Why Talbot County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Talbot County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Talbot County votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Talbot County runs about 30 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Talbot County, MD sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Talbot County looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Talbot County is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Dorchester County, MD R+9
- Caroline County, MD R+34
- Queen Anne's County, MD R+27
- Calvert County, MD R+14
- Kent County, MD Even
- Anne Arundel County, MD D+17
- Kent County, DE D+5
- Wicomico County, MD D+6
- St. Mary's County, MD R+12
- Sussex County, DE R+12
Counties with Similar Populations
- Natchitoches Parish, LA R+13
- Covington County, AL R+66
- Louisa County, VA R+32
- Clinton County, PA R+46
- Steele County, MN R+22
- Essex County, NY R+5
- Boone County, AR R+58
- Addison County, VT D+23
- Houghton County, MI D+5
- Bennington County, VT D+17
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.