Temple Hill is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Temple Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Temple Hill, ~11% vote Democratic, ~69% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Temple Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Temple Hill leans more Republican than 75 of 100 neighbors.
Temple Hill runs about 77 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Temple Hill is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Temple Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Temple Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Temple Hill, more than 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the Virginia average of 29%. Temple Hill runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Never-married share and voter turnout
Places with a low never-married share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Temple Hill, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Temple Hill looks the way it does
Turnout in Temple Hill sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Carterton, VA R+69
- Dickensonville, VA R+73
- Castlewood, VA R+71
- Hamlin, VA R+68
- Sun, VA R+71
- Carbo, VA R+67
- St. Paul, VA R+63
- Mew, VA R+71
- South Clinchfield, VA R+70
- Hansonville, VA R+70
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hillville, PA R+64
- Wrightsburg, KY R+62
- Murphys Corner, AR R+59
- Litroe, LA R+60
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.