Theodore is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Theodore typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Theodore, ~16% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Theodore compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Theodore leans more Republican than 115 of 127 neighbors.
Theodore runs about 85 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Theodore is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Theodore leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Theodore, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 90% of residents in Theodore drive to work alone, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 83% of households in Theodore are family households, above 94% of cities. Theodore runs against the grain of Maryland, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Theodore, MD sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Theodore looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in Theodore own their home, about 13 points above the Maryland average of 77%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Principio Furnace, MD R+28
- Port Deposit, MD R+45
- North East, MD R+26
- Rising Sun, MD R+48
- Charlestown, MD R+19
- Colora, MD R+49
- Perryville, MD R+22
- Blueball, MD R+44
- Frenchtown, MD R+30
- Perry Point, MD R+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Paterson, WA R+40
- Williamstown, OH R+60
- McGehees Mill, NC R+29
- Freedman, SC R+14
- Dupree, AL R+77
- Dustin, OK R+61
- Blenheim, SC R+36
- Curdsville, VA R+27
- Robyville, ME R+32
- Dermont, KY R+54
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.