Tohatchi is a Democratic stronghold. About 76% of voters here vote Democratic and 24% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Tohatchi typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tohatchi, ~41% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tohatchi compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tohatchi leans more Democratic than 14 of 16 neighbors.
Tohatchi runs about 45 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tohatchi. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+56) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+42), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Tohatchi leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tohatchi, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 62% of adults in Tohatchi have never been married, far above similar-sized cities (around 31%).
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with high food insecurity tend to turn out at a lower rate; Tohatchi, NM sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Tohatchi looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Tohatchi is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 39%, about 18 points below the New Mexico average of 58%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 47% of households in Tohatchi rent, compared to around 16% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 50% of adults in Tohatchi report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Navajo, NM D+50
- Mexican Springs, NM D+44
- Fort Defiance, NM D+45
- Fort Defiance, AZ D+59
- Window Rock, NM D+44
- Brimhall, NM D+44
- Sawmill, AZ D+61
- Sheep Springs, NM D+32
- Yatahey, NM D+35
- Yah-ta-hey, NM D+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- New Ellenton, SC R+21
- Northwood, NH R+8
- Partlow, VA R+45
- Trappe, PA D+13
- Beloit, KS R+53
- Whitesburg, GA R+69
- La Villa, TX R+8
- Dennison, OH R+53
- Jericho, VT D+22
- South Blooming Grove, NY R+46
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.