Sawmill is a Democratic stronghold. About 81% of voters here vote Democratic and 19% Republican.
About 52% of adults in Sawmill typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Sawmill, ~42% vote Democratic, ~10% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Sawmill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Sawmill leans more Democratic than 12 of 13 neighbors.
Sawmill runs about 67 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Sawmill is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Sawmill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Sawmill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Sawmill votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Sawmill runs about 67 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 60% of adults in Sawmill have never been married, in the top fraction of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Sawmill, AZ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Sawmill looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Sawmill is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 12 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 38% of adults in Sawmill report food insecurity, above 98% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 75% of adults in Sawmill have completed high school, below 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fort Defiance, AZ D+59
- Navajo, NM D+50
- Fort Defiance, NM D+45
- White Clay, AZ D+60
- Window Rock, AZ D+41
- Window Rock, NM D+44
- Tohatchi, NM D+51
- Woodsprings, AZ D+55
- Kinlichee, AZ D+56
- Nazlini, AZ D+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Juniata Terrace, PA R+62
- Webster Lake, NH R+14
- Bethania, NC R+6
- Bethel, DE R+52
- Stovall, GA R+69
- Capps, AL R+27
- Spencer, NE R+74
- Bates, MI R+5
- Holden, UT R+72
- Tulip, IN R+60
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.