Tokeland is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Tokeland typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tokeland, ~40% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tokeland compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tokeland sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 7 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 23 leaning the other way.
Tokeland runs about 19 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Tokeland sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tokeland. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+4) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+13), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Tokeland leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tokeland, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Tokeland votes against the grain of Washington. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Tokeland runs about 19 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Tokeland, WA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Tokeland looks the way it does
Turnout in Tokeland sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bay City, WA R+17
- Heather, WA R+13
- Bay Center, WA D+4
- Grayland, WA R+21
- Oysterville, WA D+16
- South Bend, WA Even
- Ocosta, WA R+30
- Westport, WA Even
- Willapa, WA R+14
- Raymond, WA R+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wintergreen, VA R+10
- Wellsville, MI R+44
- Pisinemo, AZ D+84
- Stillwell, OH R+69
- Plymouth, VT D+22
- Watkins, IA R+42
- Hubbard, MS D+21
- Nineveh Junction, NY R+39
- Hambleton, WV R+50
- Newtonia, MO R+72
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.