Tokio, ND Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Tokio

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Tokio leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.

 

About 49% of adults in Tokio typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tokio, ~28% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Tokio compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Tokio leans more Democratic than 19 of 21 neighbors.

Tokio runs about 51 points more Democratic than North Dakota as a whole. North Dakota leans Republican overall, while Tokio is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tokio. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+15) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+25), a spread of about 40 points.

Why Tokio leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tokio, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Tokio votes against the grain of North Dakota. North Dakota leans Republican overall, while Tokio runs about 51 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 55% of adults in Tokio have never been married, in the top fraction of cities.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Tokio, ND sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Tokio looks the way it does

Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 32% of adults in Tokio report food insecurity, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Tokio sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Tokio sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.