Warwick leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Warwick typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Warwick, ~28% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Warwick compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Warwick leans more Democratic than 14 of 18 neighbors.
Warwick runs about 43 points more Democratic than North Dakota as a whole. North Dakota leans Republican overall, while Warwick is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Warwick. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+18) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+49), a spread of about 67 points.
Why Warwick leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Warwick, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Warwick votes against the grain of North Dakota. North Dakota leans Republican overall, while Warwick runs about 43 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 48% of adults in Warwick have never been married, above 97% of cities.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with high food insecurity tend to turn out at a lower rate; Warwick, ND sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Warwick looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 30% of adults in Warwick report food insecurity, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 16%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Warwick sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tokio, ND D+14
- St. Michael, ND D+17
- Tolna, ND R+41
- Doyon, ND R+47
- Crary, ND R+48
- Fort Totten, ND D+43
- Devils Lake, ND R+25
- Sheyenne, ND R+49
- Lakewood Park, ND R+45
- South Minnewaukan, ND R+45
Cities with Similar Populations
- Greenwood, GA R+30
- Scotts Ferry, FL R+74
- Susitna North, AK R+39
- Mammoth, MO R+67
- Gether, VA R+26
- Ludlow, MO R+69
- Goldtown, WV R+64
- Sprague, NE R+48
- Belva, WV R+66
- Pershing, IA R+50
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.