Tomahawk Bluff leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Tomahawk Bluff typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tomahawk Bluff, ~23% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tomahawk Bluff compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tomahawk Bluff leans more Republican than 18 of 71 neighbors.
Tomahawk Bluff runs about 39 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Tomahawk Bluff is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Tomahawk Bluff leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tomahawk Bluff, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Tomahawk Bluff votes against the grain of Illinois. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Tomahawk Bluff runs about 39 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 81% of households in Tomahawk Bluff are family households, above 92% of cities.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Tomahawk Bluff, IL sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Tomahawk Bluff looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in Tomahawk Bluff own their home, about 15 points above the Illinois average of 80%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in Tomahawk Bluff have completed high school, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lasalle, IL R+9
- Peru, IL R+10
- Dalzell, IL R+22
- Troy Grove, IL R+33
- Utica, IL R+29
- North Utica, IL R+25
- Ladd, IL R+24
- Cherry, IL R+42
- Oglesby, IL R+17
- Spring Valley, IL R+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zittau, WI R+36
- Ideal, SD R+69
- Elliott, ND R+51
- Belmore, OH R+66
- Rocky Head, AL R+81
- Energy, TX R+76
- Jenkins, MO R+71
- Sentell, LA R+53
- Santuck, AL R+69
- Sarita, TX R+43
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.