Tonganoxie leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Tonganoxie typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tonganoxie, ~25% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tonganoxie compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tonganoxie leans more Republican than 44 of 65 neighbors.
Tonganoxie runs about 22 points more Republican than Kansas as a whole.
Why Tonganoxie leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tonganoxie, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Tonganoxie votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 24%, modestly above the Kansas average of 19%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Tonganoxie, KS sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Tonganoxie looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Tonganoxie is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Tonganoxie have completed high school, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Reno, KS R+43
- Jarbalo, KS R+47
- Basehor, KS R+30
- Linwood, KS R+42
- South Basehor, KS R+33
- Lenape, KS R+42
- Clinton, KS R+32
- McLouth, KS R+49
- Bonner Springs, KS R+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ripon, WI R+21
- Struthers, OH R+12
- Ward, AR R+63
- Long Grove, IL D+14
- Wood-Ridge, NJ R+6
- Muskegon Heights, MI D+77
- Hull, MA D+15
- Waynesboro, MS R+9
- Portland, MI R+31
- Maywood, NJ D+8
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.