Toppenish leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 42% of adults in Toppenish typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Toppenish, ~26% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Toppenish compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Toppenish is the most Democratic-leaning.
Toppenish runs about 5 points more Democratic than Washington as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Toppenish. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+27) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+4), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Toppenish leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Toppenish, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 52% of residents in Toppenish live in densely developed areas, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 48% of adults in Toppenish have never been married, above 98% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Toppenish, WA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Toppenish looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Toppenish is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 17 points below the Washington average of 65%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 44% of households in Toppenish rent, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 63% of adults in Toppenish have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Buena, WA R+12
- Zillah, WA R+31
- Sawyer, WA R+11
- Wapato, WA D+14
- Granger, WA D+2
- Parker, WA R+8
- Outlook, WA R+28
- Harrah, WA R+4
- Moxee, WA R+33
- Union Gap, WA R+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- La Pine, OR R+30
- Nantucket, MA D+22
- Highland Springs, VA D+57
- Jupiter Farms, FL R+38
- Hahira, GA R+44
- Nokomis, FL R+26
- Del Mar, CA D+34
- Kalaoa, HI D+15
- Fayetteville, NY D+31
- Gantt, SC D+43
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.