Toston is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Toston typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Toston, ~15% vote Democratic, ~65% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Toston compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Toston leans more Republican than 7 of 8 neighbors.
Toston runs about 41 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Why Toston leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Toston, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 82% of households in Toston are family households, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Toston sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 92% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Toston, MT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Toston looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 96% of households in Toston own their home, about 20 points above the Montana average of 77%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Radersburg, MT R+62
- Ponderosa Pines, MT R+50
- Townsend, MT R+48
- Trident, MT R+58
- Maudlow, MT R+27
- Three Forks, MT R+46
- Logan, MT R+35
- Winston, MT R+58
- Manhattan, MT R+36
- Willow Creek, MT R+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- Russellville, GA D+6
- East Canton, PA R+63
- Fargo, GA R+78
- Brooklyn Heights, MO R+61
- Moravia, TX R+71
- Speedwell, KY R+55
- Mexico, OH R+58
- White Hall, VA D+10
- Methow, WA R+9
- Wrigley, TN R+66
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.