Ponderosa Pines leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Ponderosa Pines typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ponderosa Pines, ~18% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ponderosa Pines compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ponderosa Pines leans more Republican than 8 of 12 neighbors.
Ponderosa Pines runs about 30 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Why Ponderosa Pines leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ponderosa Pines, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Ponderosa Pines live in densely developed areas, about 10 points below the Montana average of 13%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Ponderosa Pines are family households, above 78% of cities.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Ponderosa Pines, MT sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Ponderosa Pines looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 98% of adults in Ponderosa Pines have completed high school, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Maudlow, MT R+27
- Trident, MT R+58
- Toston, MT R+61
- Logan, MT R+35
- Three Forks, MT R+46
- Radersburg, MT R+62
- Manhattan, MT R+36
- Francis, MT R+48
- Church Hill, MT R+43
- Belgrade, MT R+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Metcalf, GA R+45
- Mount Joy, TX R+77
- Pruett, IL R+68
- Royals Crossroads, FL R+81
- Craig, MO R+66
- Mount Hester, AL R+73
- Munich, ND R+53
- Bena, MN Even
- West Sweden, WI R+36
- Deerfield, VA R+64
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.