Transfer leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Transfer typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Transfer, ~20% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Transfer compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Transfer leans more Republican than 45 of 105 neighbors.
Transfer runs about 43 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Transfer. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+51) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+38), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Transfer leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Transfer, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Transfer, about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Pennsylvania average of 26%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Transfer runs against that pattern.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Transfer, PA sits above the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Transfer looks the way it does
Turnout in Transfer sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Clark, PA R+32
- Sharpsville, PA R+25
- Kremis, PA R+54
- Greenville, PA R+35
- Maysville, PA R+44
- Reynolds Heights, PA R+44
- Orangeville, OH R+49
- Hermitage, PA R+17
- Burghill, OH R+48
- Sharon, PA D+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hopetown, OH R+40
- Marion, MI R+52
- Plainview, TN R+69
- Beulah, FL R+41
- Cromwell, IN R+53
- Redfield, SD R+45
- Moundridge, KS R+53
- Union, NH R+28
- Craigsville, VA R+34
- Alta, IA R+33
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.