Turtle Creek leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Turtle Creek typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Turtle Creek, ~44% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Turtle Creek compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Turtle Creek leans more Democratic than 237 of 258 neighbors.
Turtle Creek runs about 29 points more Democratic than Pennsylvania as a whole. Pennsylvania is roughly evenly split, and Turtle Creek sits clearly on the Democratic side.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Turtle Creek. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+36) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+20), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Turtle Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Turtle Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 93% of residents in Turtle Creek live in densely developed areas, about 56 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 45% of adults in Turtle Creek have never been married, above 96% of cities. Turtle Creek runs against the grain of Pennsylvania, a Democratic-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Turtle Creek, PA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Turtle Creek looks the way it does
Turnout in Turtle Creek sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Chalfant, PA D+28
- East Pittsburgh, PA D+53
- Wilmerding, PA D+32
- North Braddock, PA D+51
- Forest Hills, PA D+47
- East McKeesport, PA D+10
- Churchill, PA D+37
- Braddock Hills, PA D+39
- Wall, PA R+3
- Pitcairn, PA D+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Strasburg, PA R+49
- California, MO R+54
- Bayville, NY R+23
- Liberty, KY R+70
- North Syracuse, NY D+6
- Huron, CA D+16
- Deville, LA R+86
- Jackson, AL R+19
- Tuskegee, AL D+72
- Franklin Center, NJ D+28
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.