Union City leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Union City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Union City, ~20% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Union City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Union City leans more Republican than 12 of 85 neighbors.
Union City runs about 18 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Why Union City leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Union City. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Union City, KY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Union City looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Union City have completed high school, about 11 points above the Kentucky average of 85%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Doylesville, KY R+55
- Reeds Crossing, KY R+48
- Moberly, KY R+50
- Hunt, KY R+57
- College Hill, KY R+57
- Bloomingdale, KY R+61
- Redhouse, KY R+41
- Palmer, KY R+65
- Fox, KY R+66
- Richmond, KY R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- St. Joseph, FL R+39
- Tunis, TX R+49
- Wheeler, MS R+80
- Silver Lake, NJ D+31
- Fleetville, PA R+24
- Athol, NY R+38
- Clitherall, MN R+46
- Summerland, MS D+16
- Mount Vernon, KS R+64
- Vicey, VA R+69
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.