Richmond leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Richmond typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Richmond, ~28% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Richmond compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Richmond leans more Republican than 1 of 83 neighbors.
Richmond runs about 14 points more Democratic than Kentucky as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Richmond. The northeast side is the most split-leaning (R+38) and the south side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 36 points.
Why Richmond leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Richmond, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Richmond votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 60%, far above the Kentucky average of 18%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Richmond, KY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Richmond looks the way it does
Turnout in Richmond sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Reeds Crossing, KY R+48
- Million, KY R+34
- Caleast, KY R+32
- Newby, KY R+58
- Terrill, KY R+54
- Redhouse, KY R+41
- Moberly, KY R+50
- Union City, KY R+48
- Whites, KY R+50
- Duncanon, KY R+55
Cities with Similar Populations
- Annapolis, MD D+34
- Delano, CA D+11
- Edmonds, WA D+30
- Miami Beach, FL Even
- Alexandria, LA D+19
- Prescott, AZ R+8
- Loveland, OH R+18
- Fond Du Lac, WI R+11
- Chambersburg, PA R+26
- Ceres, CA R+5
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.