St. Joseph leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 77% of adults in St. Joseph typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in St. Joseph, ~23% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How St. Joseph compares
Among cities within 25 miles, St. Joseph leans more Republican than 24 of 46 neighbors.
St. Joseph runs about 26 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why St. Joseph leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for St. Joseph, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
St. Joseph votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 22%, far below the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in St. Joseph are family households, above 80% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; St. Joseph, FL sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in St. Joseph looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. St. Joseph is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 62% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- St. Leo, FL R+15
- Dade City, FL R+30
- Darby, FL R+44
- San Antonio, FL R+27
- Spring Lake, FL R+56
- Pasadena Hills, FL R+23
- Ridge Manor, FL R+43
- Trilby, FL R+41
- Zephyrhills, FL R+26
- Zephyrhills West, FL R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Vicey, VA R+69
- Daws, NY R+28
- Polk, NE R+66
- Newhope, AR R+80
- Mount Vernon, KS R+64
- Congress, OH R+60
- Summerland, MS D+16
- Tunis, TX R+49
- Clitherall, MN R+46
- Buffalo Gap, SD R+53
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.