Union Falls, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Union Falls

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Union Falls leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.

 

About 66% of adults in Union Falls typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Union Falls, ~29% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Union Falls compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Union Falls leans more Republican than 32 of 51 neighbors.

Union Falls runs about 25 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Union Falls is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Union Falls. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+9) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+22), a spread of about 30 points.

Why Union Falls leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Union Falls, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Union Falls live in densely developed areas, about 33 points below the New York average of 36%. Union Falls runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Paved land cover and Republican lean

Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Union Falls, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Union Falls looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Union Falls is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, above 68% of cities. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Union Falls own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.