Union Mills leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Union Mills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Union Mills, ~23% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Union Mills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Union Mills leans more Republican than 17 of 75 neighbors.
Union Mills runs about 6 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Why Union Mills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Union Mills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Union Mills votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 26%, modestly above the Kentucky average of 18%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Union Mills are family households, above 80% of cities.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Union Mills, KY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Union Mills looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Union Mills is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, above 58% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Nicholasville, KY R+34
- Keene, KY R+36
- Lexington, KY D+24
- Troy, KY R+35
- Wilmore, KY R+36
- Hall, KY R+58
- Pink, KY R+61
- Edenton, KY R+60
- Little Hickman, KY R+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alvadore, OR R+20
- Esmond, ND R+43
- Angola on the Lake, NY R+20
- Jugtown, MD R+37
- Patoutville, LA R+32
- Washoe, MT R+19
- Gray Mountain, AZ D+36
- Cato, MO R+68
- Polk, TN R+71
- Woodland, WI R+45
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.