University at Buffalo is a Democratic stronghold. About 76% of voters here vote Democratic and 24% Republican.
About 39% of adults in University at Buffalo typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in University at Buffalo, ~29% vote Democratic, ~9% Republican, and ~62% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How University at Buffalo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, University at Buffalo is the most Democratic-leaning.
University at Buffalo runs about 40 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Why University at Buffalo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for University at Buffalo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 83% of adults in University at Buffalo hold a bachelor's degree, about 54 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and University at Buffalo sits in the top fifth on density (about 79%, above 94% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and more than 99% of adults in University at Buffalo have never been married, in the top fraction of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; University at Buffalo, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in University at Buffalo looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. More than 99% of adults in University at Buffalo have completed high school, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Eggertsville, NY D+33
- Getzville, NY D+12
- Tonawanda, NY D+9
- Williamsville, NY D+32
- Kenmore, NY D+33
- East Amherst, NY D+6
- Buffalo, NY D+10
- North Tonawanda, NY R+15
- Harris Hill, NY Even
- Cheektowaga, NY D+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Webbs, KY R+72
- Patricksburg, IN R+61
- Oakman, GA R+76
- Richland, OR R+56
- Micro, NC R+40
- Coopersville, NY R+17
- East Fairfield, VT R+22
- Osage, TX R+75
- Sharon Grove, KY R+74
- Lamont, MI R+40
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.