Kenmore leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Kenmore typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kenmore, ~48% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kenmore compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kenmore leans more Democratic than 74 of 76 neighbors.
Kenmore runs about 20 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kenmore. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+40) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+18), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Kenmore leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kenmore, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Kenmore live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Kenmore sits in the top quarter (about 49%, above 93% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 40% of adults in Kenmore have never been married, above 93% of cities.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Kenmore, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Kenmore looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Kenmore is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Kenmore have completed high school, above 86% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tonawanda, NY D+9
- Eggertsville, NY D+33
- Buffalo, NY D+10
- University at Buffalo, NY D+53
- Grand Island, NY R+9
- Sloan, NY Even
- North Tonawanda, NY R+15
- Williamsville, NY D+32
- Cheektowaga, NY D+11
- Getzville, NY D+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Spring Branch, TX R+51
- Short Hills, NJ D+35
- Pacific Grove, CA D+55
- Norridge, IL R+21
- Richlands, NC R+46
- Berkley, MI D+31
- Ellwood City, PA R+34
- Warrington, FL R+14
- Wallkill, NY R+20
- Madison Heights, VA R+27
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.