Upper Rociada leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Upper Rociada typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Upper Rociada, ~35% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Upper Rociada compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Upper Rociada leans more Democratic than 7 of 38 neighbors.
Upper Rociada runs about 7 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Why Upper Rociada leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Upper Rociada, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 38% of adults in Upper Rociada hold a bachelor's degree, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Upper Rociada, NM sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Upper Rociada looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Upper Rociada is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rociada, NM D+15
- Penasco Blanco, NM D+23
- South Carmen, NM D+23
- Monte Aplanado, NM D+25
- La Cueva, NM D+18
- Sapello, NM D+16
- North Carmen, NM D+21
- Manuelitas, NM D+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Yonges Island, SC D+6
- Tampico, MT R+61
- Kenna, NM R+78
- Dodson, TX R+84
- Siegle, LA R+59
- Yatesville, OH R+66
- Hangman Crossing, IN R+61
- Valley-Hi, PA R+74
- Sloan, NV R+9
- Laveen Village, AZ D+63
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.