North Carmen leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 60% of adults in North Carmen typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Carmen, ~37% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Carmen compares
Among cities within 25 miles, North Carmen leans more Democratic than 19 of 32 neighbors.
North Carmen runs about 15 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within North Carmen. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+26) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+16), a spread of about 10 points.
Why North Carmen leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Carmen, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 34% of adults in North Carmen hold a bachelor's degree, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 41% of adults in North Carmen have never been married, above 94% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; North Carmen, NM sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in North Carmen looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. North Carmen is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in North Carmen report food insecurity, above 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- South Carmen, NM D+23
- Buena Vista, NM D+16
- Penasco Blanco, NM D+23
- Mora, NM D+26
- Monte Aplanado, NM D+25
- Rociada, NM D+15
- Rainsville, NM D+15
- Cleveland, NM D+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Leckrone, PA R+41
- St. Anthony, IA R+43
- Magnolia, TN R+63
- Bixby, MO R+68
- McKinley, VA R+54
- Lake City, CA R+37
- Upton, UT R+58
- Herty, TX R+73
- Mahanoy Plane, PA R+34
- Luray, SC D+17
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.