Rociada leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Rociada typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Rociada, ~31% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Rociada compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Rociada leans more Democratic than 12 of 34 neighbors.
Rociada runs about 9 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Rociada. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+25) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+13), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Rociada leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Rociada, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 33% of adults in Rociada have never been married, modestly above similar-sized cities (around 24%).
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Rociada, NM sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Rociada looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Rociada is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 83% of adults in Rociada have completed high school, below 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Upper Rociada, NM D+13
- Penasco Blanco, NM D+23
- South Carmen, NM D+23
- Sapello, NM D+16
- North Carmen, NM D+21
- Manuelitas, NM D+13
- Monte Aplanado, NM D+25
- Las Tusas, NM D+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Oasis, UT R+82
- Ocean Forest, SC R+46
- East Germantown, IN R+54
- Shoals, WV R+54
- Gardiner, WA D+25
- Stanley, OK R+71
- Olivet Hill, MD R+29
- Luther, IN R+66
- Taopi, MN R+42
- Frazier Crossroads, NC R+19
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.