Penasco Blanco leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Penasco Blanco typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Penasco Blanco, ~35% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Penasco Blanco compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Penasco Blanco leans more Democratic than 22 of 34 neighbors.
Penasco Blanco runs about 17 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Why Penasco Blanco leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Penasco Blanco, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 35% of adults in Penasco Blanco hold a bachelor's degree, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 41% of adults in Penasco Blanco have never been married, above 94% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Penasco Blanco, NM sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Penasco Blanco looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Penasco Blanco is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Penasco Blanco report food insecurity, above 84% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- South Carmen, NM D+23
- North Carmen, NM D+21
- Rociada, NM D+15
- Upper Rociada, NM D+13
- Monte Aplanado, NM D+25
- Mora, NM D+26
- Buena Vista, NM D+16
- Manuelitas, NM D+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Deckerville, AR R+59
- Centerville, AL R+11
- Evergreen, KY R+62
- Woods Landing, WY R+33
- Whitewater, NM R+29
- Freeport, WV R+68
- Littleton, VA R+34
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.