Valentine is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Valentine typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Valentine, ~10% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Valentine compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Valentine is the most Republican-leaning.
Valentine runs about 54 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Why Valentine leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Valentine, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of residents in Valentine live in densely developed areas, about 38 points below the Arizona average of 39%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Valentine sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 82% of cities).
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Valentine, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Valentine looks the way it does
Turnout in Valentine sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hackberry, AZ R+59
- Truxton, AZ R+14
- Grasshopper Junction, AZ R+59
- Peach Springs, AZ D+59
- Valle Vista, AZ R+55
- Nelson, AZ R+53
- Hualapai, AZ R+54
- New Kingman-Butler, AZ R+36
- Kingman, AZ R+38
- So-Hi, AZ R+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- Missler, KS R+69
- Zoe, KY R+65
- Sanger, ND R+62
- Center Hill, TN R+74
- Palermo, KS R+59
- East Point, LA R+16
- Naples, IL R+62
- Emery Mill, TN R+70
- Sunnyside, FL R+13
- Eileen, IL R+25
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.