Valley Cottage, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Valley Cottage

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Valley Cottage is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.

 

About 81% of adults in Valley Cottage typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Valley Cottage, ~42% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Valley Cottage compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Valley Cottage leans more Democratic than 145 of 258 neighbors.

Valley Cottage runs about 8 points more Republican than New York as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Valley Cottage. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+11) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+9), a spread of about 20 points.

Why Valley Cottage leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Valley Cottage. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Valley Cottage, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Valley Cottage looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Valley Cottage is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Valley Cottage own their home, compared to around 77% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.