Valley Springs leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Valley Springs typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Valley Springs, ~24% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Valley Springs compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Valley Springs leans more Republican than 36 of 47 neighbors.
Valley Springs runs about 63 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Valley Springs is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Valley Springs. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+38), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Valley Springs leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Valley Springs, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Valley Springs votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Valley Springs runs about 63 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Valley Springs are family households, above 78% of cities.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Valley Springs, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Valley Springs looks the way it does
Turnout in Valley Springs sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rancho Calaveras, CA R+38
- Burson, CA R+44
- Campo Seco, CA R+49
- Wallace, CA R+49
- Camanche North Shore, CA R+45
- Paloma, CA R+40
- Milton, CA R+49
- Buena Vista, CA R+42
- San Andreas, CA R+26
- Clements, CA R+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Normandy Park, WA D+30
- Berkley, MA R+19
- Nephi, UT R+66
- Belcamp, MD D+21
- Interlochen, MI R+15
- Houston, MS R+19
- Fort Benning, GA R+32
- Delmar, DE R+34
- Windber, PA R+39
- Fort Leavenworth, KS R+8
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.