Vancleave is a Republican stronghold. About 11% of voters here vote Democratic and 89% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Vancleave typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Vancleave, ~8% vote Democratic, ~68% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Vancleave compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Vancleave leans more Republican than 16 of 23 neighbors.
Vancleave runs about 55 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Vancleave. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+83) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+71), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Vancleave leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Vancleave. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Vancleave, MS sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Vancleave looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 96% of households in Vancleave own their home, about 20 points above the Mississippi average of 77%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Escatawpa, MS R+25
- Gautier, MS R+14
- Ocean Springs, MS R+48
- Wade, MS R+87
- Moss Point, MS R+12
- Hurley, MS R+86
- Gulf Hills, MS R+29
- Gulf Park Estates, MS R+39
- Pascagoula, MS R+4
- D'Iberville, MS R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rindge, NH R+9
- Teague, TX R+45
- Shenandoah, PA R+30
- Stony Point, NC R+60
- Battlement Mesa, CO R+33
- Hamptonville, NC R+63
- Bethpage, TN R+66
- Douglass Hills, KY D+6
- Perry, UT R+51
- Sunset Beach, NC R+37
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.