Gulf Park Estates leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Gulf Park Estates typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gulf Park Estates, ~25% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gulf Park Estates compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Gulf Park Estates leans more Republican than 8 of 17 neighbors.
Gulf Park Estates runs about 16 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Why Gulf Park Estates leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gulf Park Estates, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Gulf Park Estates votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 45%, far above the Mississippi average of 15%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Gulf Park Estates, MS sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Gulf Park Estates looks the way it does
Turnout in Gulf Park Estates sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ocean Springs, MS R+48
- Gulf Hills, MS R+29
- Gautier, MS R+14
- Escatawpa, MS R+25
- D'Iberville, MS R+24
- Biloxi, MS R+21
- Vancleave, MS R+78
- Pascagoula, MS R+4
- Moss Point, MS R+12
- Loraine, MS R+71
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wesley Hills, NY R+60
- Imperial, PA R+14
- Sanborn, NY R+28
- Williams, CA R+5
- Kiln, MS R+76
- Onalaska, TX R+63
- Wayzata, MN D+18
- Middleburg, PA R+63
- East Bend, NC R+65
- Jackson, LA R+34
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.