Gulf Hills leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Gulf Hills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Gulf Hills, ~24% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Gulf Hills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Gulf Hills leans more Republican than 7 of 19 neighbors.
Gulf Hills runs about 6 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Gulf Hills. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+44) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+11), a spread of about 33 points.
Why Gulf Hills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Gulf Hills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Gulf Hills votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 45%, far above the Mississippi average of 15%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Gulf Hills, MS sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Gulf Hills looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Gulf Hills have completed high school, about 12 points above the Mississippi average of 85%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ocean Springs, MS R+48
- D'Iberville, MS R+24
- Gulf Park Estates, MS R+39
- Biloxi, MS R+21
- Escatawpa, MS R+25
- Gautier, MS R+14
- Vancleave, MS R+78
- Loraine, MS R+71
- Gulfport, MS Even
- Success, MS R+71
Cities with Similar Populations
- Elkmont, AL R+73
- Farr West, UT R+50
- Richmond, MI R+38
- DeQueen, AR R+36
- Veneta, OR R+7
- Catskill, NY Even
- Dardanelle, AR R+49
- Lincoln, AL R+52
- Lake Hopatcong, NJ R+15
- Sturtevant, WI Even
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.