Pascagoula is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Pascagoula typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pascagoula, ~24% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pascagoula compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pascagoula is the least Republican-leaning.
Pascagoula runs about 19 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Pascagoula. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+16) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+43), a spread of about 59 points.
Why Pascagoula leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Pascagoula. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Pascagoula, MS does.
Why turnout in Pascagoula looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Pascagoula is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 8%, about 52 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 44% of households in Pascagoula rent, compared to around 21% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 28% of adults in Pascagoula report food insecurity, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Moss Point, MS R+12
- Gautier, MS R+14
- Escatawpa, MS R+25
- San Souci Beach, AL R+73
- Gulf Park Estates, MS R+39
- Vancleave, MS R+78
- Grand Bay, AL R+70
- Ocean Springs, MS R+48
- Bayou La Batre, AL R+55
- Gulf Hills, MS R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Vidor, TX R+76
- Hartselle, AL R+66
- Marshfield, WI R+14
- Cranford, NJ D+16
- Hazel Dell, WA D+19
- Lorton, VA D+35
- Laguna Beach, CA D+14
- Bourbonnais, IL R+12
- North Lynnwood, WA D+28
- Monroe, NY R+8
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.