Vandenberg Air Force Base, CA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Vandenberg Air Force Base

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Vandenberg Air Force Base is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.

 

About 38% of adults in Vandenberg Air Force Base typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Vandenberg Air Force Base, ~20% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~62% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Vandenberg Air Force Base compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Vandenberg Air Force Base leans more Democratic than 13 of 20 neighbors.

Vandenberg Air Force Base runs about 17 points more Republican than California as a whole.

Why Vandenberg Air Force Base leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Vandenberg Air Force Base. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

Homeownership and voter turnout

Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Vandenberg Air Force Base, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Vandenberg Air Force Base looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. More than 99% of households in Vandenberg Air Force Base rent, about 75 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 6% of homes in Vandenberg Air Force Base have more than one occupant per room, above 90% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Vandenberg Air Force Base have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.