Casmalia is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 12% of adults in Casmalia typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Casmalia, ~6% vote Democratic, ~6% Republican, and ~88% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Casmalia compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Casmalia leans more Democratic than 15 of 21 neighbors.
Casmalia runs about 16 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Casmalia. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+18), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Casmalia leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Casmalia. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Casmalia, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Casmalia looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Casmalia is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 23%, about 13 points above the California average of 10%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 49% of households in Casmalia rent, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 33% of adults in Casmalia report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Vandenberg Air Force Base, CA D+3
- Vandenberg AFB, CA D+3
- Orcutt, CA R+8
- Guadalupe, CA D+15
- Santa Maria, CA D+10
- Vandenberg Village, CA R+4
- Garey, CA R+30
- Midco, CA R+20
- Lompoc, CA D+10
- Nipomo, CA R+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tusquitee, NC R+47
- Mc Kittrick, CA R+82
- Madoc, MT R+67
- DeGraff, KS R+63
- Port Richmond, VA R+34
- Port Elizabeth, NJ R+45
- Xenia, KS R+64
- Mabel, PA R+60
- Magan, KY R+69
- North San Ysidro, NM D+4
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.