Guadalupe, CA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Guadalupe

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Guadalupe leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.

 

About 36% of adults in Guadalupe typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Guadalupe, ~21% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~64% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Guadalupe compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Guadalupe leans more Democratic than 19 of 22 neighbors.

Guadalupe runs about 5 points more Republican than California as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Guadalupe. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+17) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 16 points.

Why Guadalupe leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Guadalupe, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. About 49% of residents in Guadalupe live in densely developed areas, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 43% of adults in Guadalupe have never been married, above 96% of cities.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Guadalupe, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Guadalupe looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Guadalupe is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 16 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 46% of households in Guadalupe rent, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 38% of adults in Guadalupe report food insecurity, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

All Local Stats

Home Services

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.