Vandiver leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Vandiver typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Vandiver, ~18% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Vandiver compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Vandiver leans more Republican than 6 of 35 neighbors.
Vandiver runs about 28 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Vandiver. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+66) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+34), a spread of about 32 points.
Why Vandiver leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Vandiver, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 87% of residents in Vandiver drive to work alone, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Vandiver sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 81% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Vandiver, MO sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Vandiver looks the way it does
Turnout in Vandiver sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mexico, MO R+40
- Benton City, MO R+65
- Shamrock, MO R+64
- Thompson, MO R+64
- Auxvasse, MO R+56
- Rush Hill, MO R+68
- Molino, MO R+65
- Martinsburg, MO R+65
- Hatton, MO R+62
- Kingdom City, MO R+57
Cities with Similar Populations
- Edmundson, MO D+27
- Nuiqsut, AK D+2
- West Dryden, NY D+26
- Ogema, MN R+7
- Sidon, MS D+4
- Shoreham, MI D+4
- Strandell, WA R+30
- Wainscott, NY D+20
- Dumont, IA R+51
- White City, KS R+64
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.