Varna leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Varna typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Varna, ~19% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Varna compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Varna leans more Republican than 48 of 77 neighbors.
Varna runs about 54 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Varna is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Varna leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Varna, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 88% of residents in Varna drive to work alone, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Varna runs against the grain of Illinois, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Varna, IL sits below the national average on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Varna looks the way it does
Turnout in Varna sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Magnolia, IL R+39
- La Rose, IL R+46
- Toluca, IL R+34
- Henry, IL R+31
- Wilbern, IL R+43
- Lacon, IL R+38
- McNabb, IL R+35
- Washburn, IL R+43
- Mount Palatine, IL R+44
- Sparland, IL R+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- Schaller, IA R+49
- Vanlue, OH R+55
- East Bethany, NY R+42
- Black Rock, MA D+21
- Munsons Corners, NY R+15
- Richardton, ND R+72
- Palmyra, IL R+57
- Lewisville, OH R+65
- Lester, OH R+38
- Cromwell, KY R+69
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.